13 keys history. They focus on 13 true-false statements.

13 keys history 1909 – Key West’s mail service was increased: It now was sent daily to the east coast of Florida and three times a week to the west coast. Sep 1, 1988 · The Keys to the Presidency is a perfect formula on perdicting U. ***NOT AN OFFICIAL ALAN LICHTMAN OR 13 KEYS TO THE WHITE HOUSE COMMUNITY, I’M JUST A FAN OF THE PROFESSOR Enjoy a fun-filled way to discover many of St. Volume 2 of his popular series celebrates the arrival of Commodore David Porter’s anti-piracy squadron, and true acts of piracy connected to the Florida Keys. Nov 6, 2024 · The 13 Keys to the White House, developed by Distinguished Professor of History Allan J. And, yes, he is almost always right. , describes how he and came up with the idea for the 13 Keys t Mar 16, 2023 · 2013: The Florida Keys History & Discovery Center is established on the grounds of Islamorada’s Islander Resort. S. Lichtman create Sep 5, 2024 · As a professor of history at American University for 50 years, Lichtman developed the famous "13 Keys to the White House" method, which is considered a strong indicator of election results. Lichtman's "13 Keys to the White House" include: Key 1 (Party Mandate): After the midterm elections, the incumbent party holds more seats in the U. Newsletter Oct 28, 2020 · Their 13 keys have accurately predicted every US presidential race since 1984. His system is based on history going all the way back to 1860 and is pretty robust and had stated that there could 4 days ago · January in History. Herrera described the Keys for posterity: "To all this line of islands Sep 5, 2024 · The confidence is rooted in Mr. The 13 Keys Scavenger and Mystery is your key to adventure in St. Even at this date spring of 2010 when the gop is boasting of huge potential huge gains in the 2010 mid-term elections President Obama is in strong position to win a second term in 2012. Sep 28, 2024 · In 1981 Allan Lichtman, an American historian of some renown, got together with a Russian geologist (of all people) named Vladimir Keilis-Borok to create what has become the most reliable prediction system for US Presidential elections. The 13 Keys Scavenger and Mystery is not just a game, but an immersive experience that will leave you with memories for a lifetime. Mail would also be gathered from street boxes at 6 a. Nov 8, 2024 · Lichtman shared the two major reasons his "13 Keys to the White House" prediction system failed this year, including disdain for the Biden-Harris administration and Harris' delayed campaign Sep 29, 2024 · What are Allan Lichtman's 13 keys to pick the winner, and why did he choose Kamala Harris over Donald Trump? Lichtman developed the metrics for his predictions with the help of seismologist and Aug 2, 2024 · Allan Lichtman, a Distinguished Professor of History at American University, first introduced the 13 Keys system in 1981. Developed in 1981 with mathematician Vladimir Keilis-Borok, Lichtman’s formula of 13 keys to the White House has helped him make overwhelmingly accurate predictions ever since. Keys can symbolize power because they allow access and control over places and information. Aug 7, 2024 · (Originally published on Substack on August 1, 2024). I thought 8-5 was more reflective of Bush's 2004 squeaker election. The Incumbent's approval rating is sinking close to 35 percent! Re-election politics is very simple: if the incumbent is popular he will be relelected. Lichtman at American University, is an analytical framework for predicting the outcome of American presidential elections. Sep 5, 2024 · Lichtman said in a video, first reported by The New York Times, that he based his prediction on thirteen keys or “big picture true-false questions that tap into the strength and performance of Oct 30, 2024 · 2. It offers a classic dive bar with historically amazing conch fritters, but it takes a little longer. When six or more are false, the challenging party wins. City in St. The Keys are statements that favour the reelection of the incumbent party. It was September. Army Captain James M. In ancient times, keys were large and made from wood or metals like bronze and iron. The first portion is very early history of Lignum Vitae Key, and to a degree all relates to the wrecking industry. The Man Who Saved Elton John's Life January 12, 1941; Theodora: An Emperor’s Anchor and Women’s Champion January 13, 532 AD; Judge With a Passion For Civil Rights January 14, 1911; British Museum Opens its Doors January 15, 1759 Nov 8, 2024 · In addition to lecturing in the U. Card Sound Road is the other option. ) The 13 Keys to the Presidency This is a community to discuss Professor Allan Lichtman’s 13 Keys To The White House, History, and Politics. 1861 – Orders were issued that no vessels were to be allowed to leave Key West unless the owners and crews first took the oath of allegiance to the Union. May 11, 2020 · The 13 Keys to the Presidency Following are the 13 Keys and Lichtman’s assessment of how they turn: After the midterm election, the incumbent party holds more seats in the U. My guest, American University history professor Allan Lichtman, brings both to this exercise. Lichtman, The Keys to the White House (2005), post-2004 election ed. It is recommended one takes a screenshot of their keys from the site 13keystracker. Augustine, Florida! Our games range from history, to haunted, to holiday themed scavenger hunts that are not app based, are self-guided and put you on course for an exciting time in the Oldest City. Some of his calls that year were bizarre. This Sep 12, 2011 · After developing the 13-key model, I then followed proper procedure by testing it repeatedly through advance prediction of seven future elections – 1984 to 2008 — with unknown outcomes. He trusts his "13 Keys to the White House" system and still believes Harris will become the Sep 5, 2024 · American University professor Allan Lichtman released his quadrennial prediction for the presidential election Thursday via a snappy New York Times video that called him the "Prophet of Presidential Elections. If he's not he'll lose. Apr 12, 2024 · Key West, a quaint island at the southernmost tip of the Florida Keys, is not only a treasure trove of sun-soaked adventures but also a vibrant tapestry of history. What is he saying about this year’s race?, Nov 6, 2024 · The American University history professor, who predicted nine out of 10 U. The History of the 13 Keys: A Retrospective: Examining the success and evolution of Lichtman's predictive model. he has good amount of keys locked up in his favor already at this early date. Jun 27, 2024 · Alan Lichtman claims there are indicators that have been common with presidential election winners since 1860. D. Historical Events on February 13: Significant Moments in History. In 1881, two itinerant Key West Methodist ministers, Sonelian and Giddens, traveled the Keys by schooner. Alan Lichtman claims there are indicators that have been common with presidential election winners since 1860. According to Lichtman’s system, a loss for the incumbent party is predicted Allan Lichtman's prediction on whether Trump or Harris will win the 2024 presidential election based on his 13 keys for a successful election campaign. his 2010 losses will be his 2012 gain May 13, 2024 · In addition to amazing trips out to the reef, they offer the history tour every Thursday at 9:30 a. The pair studied US election history from 1860 to 1980. Augustine, FL Ready to experience the best of St. The 13 keys are worthless when trends change. Sep 2, 2022 · Brad Bertelli is a Florida Keys historian, author, speaker, and Honorary Conch who has been exploring the history of Monroe County and the Florida Keys for two decades. Throughout history, certain dates stand out for the remarkable events that unfolded on them. Oct 13, 2024 · Today in Keys History – October 13, 2024 1910 – Over the course of a month, Key West had gained 1,200 new inhabitants, a population growth rate never seen by a Florida city before. Unlike polls and poll-based projections, this model focuses on the larger picture, the consequential events during a president’s Search this site. m. Nov 9, 2024 · Lichtman used his longtime "13 Keys to the White House" system to form his prediction that Harris would beat Trump. Oct 23, 2024 · How does ‘Keys to the White House’ formula work. 1826 – The first Key West lighthouse, located at the southwestern end of the island, was lit for the first time. When six or more keys are false, the model predicts a loss for Nov 5, 2024 · Silver's bulletin forecast vs. He gave Republicans 9 True Keys and 4 False Keys but I couldn't see how the War in Afghanistan and Iraq could be considered a Foreign Military Success. Click above for a series of web pages relating to the overseas railroad which opened January 22, 1912. Asserted "13 keys" method right. Collaborating with renowned mathematician Vladimir Keilis-Borok, Lichtman and his co-author Ken DeCell published “The 13 Keys to the White House” in 1991. Allan J. In a notice written by P. The Keys Model. While a few of the ships ravaged by the storm […] Nov 5, 2024 · is renowned ‘13 Keys’ prediction model, which has accurately called the last 10 presidential elections. If five or fewer answers are “no,” the incumbent party retains the presidency; if six or more are “no,” the challenger wins. With multiple categories to choose from, such as history, haunted, or romance, our scavenger hunt will take you on a journey through the old cities like no other. Brannan, commanding Key West’s Barracks (at today’s Peary Court housing complex), marched his men to Fort Taylor and took charge of the stronghold. The action ensured that Key West would remain under Union control during the Civil War and provided Sep 9, 2024 · Historian Allan Lichtman, who has an almost perfect record in predicting US election results, has said that Democratic presidential nominee Vice President Kamala Harris will win the November poll. The keys include whether: The White House party gained House seats during the midterm elections 4 days ago · Today in Keys History – January 13. The keys must be “turned In the year 1700, the Henrietta Marie, a British slave ship, sank 35 miles off the coast of what is now Key West at New Ground Reef, Most the diary takes place in Key West; however, on February 23, 1831, he and others make a trip up to the present-day area of Miami. Solve clues, look out for landmarks, and soak up the Specialties: Come explore the vast history of the Florida Keys, from the Indians who inhabited the island chain more than 1,000 years ago, Spanish treasure fleets, pirates and wreckers to Flagler's railroad, devastating hurricanes, and the early communities that help shape the Florida Keys, the Discovery Center reveals a surprising breadth of history through the use of artifacts and Sep 26, 2016 · The “13 Keys,” featured in Allan Lichtman’s renowned book Keys to the White House, have been highlighted in dozens of articles throughout the world and are a resource for aspiring politicians. " Aug 13, 2024 · Today in Keys History – August 13, 2024. In 1984, Lichtman co-created a prediction system alongside Soviet geophysicist Vladamir Keilis Borok that could accurately predict the outcome of presidential elections based on historical data. From docks on Knight's Key, Flagler operated his Peninsular and Occidental (P & O) Steamship Company to and from Havana while awaiting the completion of the railroad to Key West. M. Florida Keys History with Brad Bertelli celebrates pioneers, eccentrics, and unsung heroes from the Northern Keys to the Dry Tortugas. C. The 13 keys are based on examining the strength of the incumbent administration’s record on issues Jan 13, 2024 · 1861: Under the cover of night, U. Navy announced it was establishing a coaling station in Key West. To develop the keys, Lichtman and Keilis-Borok analyzed presidential elections over the past 120 years, and they based their prediction model on earthquake models. Nov 6, 2024 · The famous prognosticator had said his '13 keys' system showed Harris would win. Of 30 Marines there, only 10 were able perform their duties. 3. The next clipping is dated almost three months later, on February 13, 1907: "Mr. From turning points in politics to cultural breakthroughs, these days often carry significance that echoes through time. If just six of the 13 keys turned against the incumbent, they are in for a loss. If five or fewer are false, the incumbent is expected to win. I can attest that applying the keys is challenging for those of us without a history Ph. Key #5: Economic perception not matching paper reality at the same levels (for basically the first time in American history) The next significant event for Key Vaca was Flagler beginning his construction of the Overseas Railroad. Augustine's historic center, and set off with just your group for company: this self-led experience lets you explore at your own pace. Historian Allan Lichtman was a legend. (Trump’s “unorthodox” campaign will no doubt put the 13 Keys theory to a stress test this year. In route, he stops at Key Vaca, Lignum Vitae Key, Indian Key, Tavernier and on to the mainland. Lichtman’s simple, history-driven model, which tunes out polls and pollsters and instead focuses on 13 true-or-false questions that he says hold the “keys” to Oct 16, 2024 · Each of the 13 keys can be defined as a true-or-false statement. OR/MS Today readers may remember Lichtman, professor of history at The American University in Washington, D. Augustine? The Oldest City is loaded with history, architecture, haunted old brick streets, and a coastal breeze. Nov 5, 2024 · Allan Lichtman (Distinguished Professor of History, American University, and author, “Predicting the Next President: The Keys to the White House, 2024”) joins Chris Cuomo on Election Day to discuss his renowned ‘13 Keys’ prediction model, which has accurately called the last 10 presidential elections. 1911 – The Men and Religious Movement was taking hold in Key West, and many people attended a meeting at the Old Stone Church. The Keys to the White House, also known as the 13 keys, is a prediction system for determining the outcome of presidential elections in the United States. This is a community to discuss Professor Allan Lichtman’s 13 Keys To The White House, History, and Politics. Nov 20, 2024 · Photo by Marek Studzinski on Unsplash Revisiting Lichtman’s 13 Keys. House of Representatives than it did after the previous midterm elections. Allan Lichtman, professor of history at American University and author of the 13 Keys – a model for predicting who will win the presidential election. Analyzing the 2020 Election Through the 13 Keys: A post-election analysis of how the keys played out. Allan Jay Lichtman (/ ˈ l ɪ k t m ən /; born April 4, 1947) is an American historian who has taught at American University in Washington, D. The Economic Factors Influencing the 2024 Election: A detailed look at the economic keys' impact. So who does he forecast as 2024's winner? Hurricane-prone states The day in pictures Get May 13, 2023 · Today in Keys History – May 13, 2023 Leonard “Mike” Warren at the snack bar at the Federal Building in Key West in 1977. The 13 Keys Scavenger and Mystery games are your key to unlocking fun and adventure in St. Those who take the two-hour trip listen to my recorded voice telling stories about Indian Key, Lignumvitae Key, the original Overseas Highway and the ferry system that was required to make the trek between Key West and the mainland. Click above for a photo intensive tour of the fauna, flora, the coral reef and other natural history of the Florida Keys. every day except Sunday. I think his “13 Keys” are an achievement in the history of prediction models and completely normalize the weirdness of US presidential elections. It is interwoven with the history of wrecking, orchestrated by a character named Jacob Housman at its peak, and its most famous event occurred during the Second Seminole War - a massacre. Welcome To The Matecumbe Historical Trust History of Islamorada and The Florida Keys The Matecumbe Historical Trust Corp. Jan 13, 2024 · Today in Keys History – January 13, 2024. One of these first North Key Largo land buyers was Samuel S. Mar 1, 2008 · Lichtman’s predictions are based on 13 questions (see box), each with a “yes” or “no” answer. Throughout history, keys have been used in many ways. Apr 1, 2016 · Interestingly, with few exceptions, the 13 Keys have little or nothing to do with the perceived strengths or weaknesses of the presumed presidential nominees. Candidates of the incumbent party have historically won election when at least 8 out of the 13 indicators are true. I'm a fan. Dr. The criteria Blogs, Articles and Posts Discover our world of history, mystery and puzzle through our reads Explore the Historic District day or night with The 13 Keys Aug 13, 2024 · Developed in 1981, the model uses 13 true/false questions, known as "keys," to gauge the strength of the incumbent party's position. Later, in 1887, the Florida Conference, South, assigned the Reverend J. Keeper Michael Mabrity, assisted by wife Barbara, used whale oil to fuel its 15 lamps. Nov 27, 2024 · The 13 Keys to the White House Source: Allan J. They are based on a scientific model of “13 Keys,” or conditions that favor reelection of the incumbent party candidate. Nov 7, 2024 · The 1733 New Spain Fleet departed Havana en route to Spain on Friday, July 13. The Sep 11, 2024 · Allan Lichtman's prediction on whether Trump or Harris will win the 2024 presidential election based on his 13 keys for a successful election campaign. If six or more of the keys are false, the incumbent party is predicted to lose the election. " That's because Lichtman, by way of his system of 13 questions, or "keys," that determine his call, has correctly called every election except 2000's, which was Aug 14, 2024 · In this video, Allan Lichtman discusses creating his system, The 13 Keys to the White House, which he uses to predict presidential elections. Augustine. 4. … St. It was developed by American historian Allan Lichtman and Russian geophysicist Vladimir Keilis-Borok in 1981, adapting methods that Keilis-Borok designed for earthquake prediction . Sweat to be pastor of the Key Largo Circuit, which contained four "organized societies. Sep 9, 2024 · Critics of the “13 keys” home in on the speculative nature of some of the true-false propositions. Key West was the primary goal; Knight's Key the secondary. Sep 5, 2024 · The 13 Keys ignore all polls and pollsters. Skip to main content Nov 22, 2024 · Allan Lichtman, professor of American history at American University in Washington DC, has been widely regarded as one of the most accurate predictors of presidential election outcomes. He has correctly predicted the results of nine of the past 10 presidential elections. Brannan, commanding Key West’s Barracks (at today’s Peary Court housing complex), quietly marched his men to Fort Taylor, took charge of the stronghold and kept it out of secessionist hands. Jan 8, 2025 · Today in Keys History – January 8. In literature and art, they often symbolize mystery and the journey to uncover the unknown. 100th Anniversary of Henry Flagler's Key West Extension. He says that if the party holding the White House loses six of those keys, that party will probably lose the election. Lichtman explains why he stands by his forecast of a Harris victory, despite shifting political dynamics and public skepticism, and delves into how today’s political climate reflects deeper trends in American society. The Democrats actually lost control of the House in the 2022 midterms, meaning this particular key is termed “false," tipping the scales toward Trump. It is interwoven with the history of wrecking, orchestrated by a character named Jacob Housman at its peak, and its most famous event occurred during the Second Seminole War. Embedded Files. Oct 4, 2024 · Instead, he uses a set of 13 keys to make his predictions. Jun 27, 2024 · NOTE: Post 2000 discussion is not allowed, so I'd like to keep this up to 2000 (or 1996 to be on the safe side). “Yes” answers favor the incumbent party. Make your own way to the start point in St. Historical Uses of Keys. Lichtman's model has correctly predicted the winner of the presidency since 1984. There are 13 indicators. I've been fascinated by Lichtman since the 2004 election. com, as this is the easiest format of the model to read and understand. It predicted the 2000 election wrong, which I suppose most people can excuse due to the very weird election that was. Of the convoy’s 22 ships that sailed out of the harbor that day, only one completed the Atlantic crossing home to Spain. Average tour takes approximately 2 hours. Drink in the past and discover a golden 4 days ago · When driving in and out of the Florida Keys, most people take the 18-Mile Stretch. He says Kamala Haris is going to win, concluding that there has been no major scandal in Nov 18, 2024 · The newspaper also made clear that livestock was roaming around the island. It had nothing to do with polls, campaign strategies, or events, and everything to do with Lichtman’s “13 Keys” system, which predicts the winner based on the performance of the incumbent party. We interview Dr. 1. Aug 5, 2020 · Four years ago, American University History Professor Allan Lichtman predicted a victory by Donald Trump in the presidential election. Using his system, Lichtman has now correctly predicted 9 of 11 presidential elections since 1984. He never missed. From the Hemingway House, where a literary giant penned profound works, to the somber echoes of Fort Zachary Taylor, each site offers insights into a past fraught with maritime First Keys Settlements: Bahamas History: Cuba History: Henry Flagler and the Railroad: The Overseas Highway: Keys Electric CO-OP: Keys Aqueduct Authority: Keys Post Offices: Keys Black Heritage: The Gulf Stream: Comprehensive History of Keys Hurricanes: The Hurricane Memorial: Pennekamp State Park: Keys Medical Services: Upper Keys Religion Mar 9, 2011 · Based on his “13 keys” model, quantitative historian Allan Lichtman called the 2012 election for Obama nearly a year ago, with some caveats about how some keys might change. While the Stretch does not have a Panther Crossing road […] Oct 30, 2024 · Lichtman has come under fire for his predictions, notably with political pollster Nate Silver last month calling the American University modern history professor's keys "totally arbitrary" in a The complete history of Indian Key, a small but populated island half way between Key West and Miami (Fort Dallas), is much more detailed than the above. 1861 – During the night, U. Lichtman, distinguished professor of history at American University in Washington D. 2. Lichtman's '13 Keys to the White House' Silver's final 2024 presidential election forecast had Harris as the winner by a razor-thin margin after she won 40,012 of May 17, 2024 · For that, there is no algorithm, no AI, no mathematical formula. When five or fewer statements are false, the incumbent party wins. It hasn't been wrong, per se so far. People with sub-40 percent approval rating do not get re-elected yet it's possible Trump makes this an exception to that rule and it has naught to do with any "13 keys" Sep 5, 2024 · American University history professor Allan Lichtman finally reveals his prediction for the 2024 election. and around the world, Lichtman is the author of 13 books and hundreds of academic articles. Key #4: A wide field of four different third party candidates averaging a total of 12%-15% in the polls, but not consolidated 10%+ into one candidate that Lichtman claims is necessary to turn this key false. " The next month on March 12 the following clipping appeared: "The greatest activity is centered at Long Key and the lower end of Upper Matecumbe Key, though there is much building and Oct 28, 2024 · The 13 Keys to the White House: A Model Built on History The foundation of Lichtman’s model is a set of 13 true-or-false statements that assess the strength of the incumbent party. Nov 3, 2024 · The system, dubbed the "13 Keys to the White House" uses – you guessed it – thirteen true-or-false statements rooted in historical analysis about the state of the country, the parties and the This is a community to discuss Professor Allan Lichtman’s 13 Keys To The White House model and how they apply to the 2024 election. What is a charismatic leader, for example? Yet the sage of Bethesda, as some have dubbed him Sep 10, 2024 · Allan Lichtman's prediction on whether Trump or Harris will win the 2024 presidential election based on his 13 keys for a successful election campaign. The Natural History Cybermuseum. presidential elections before the latest one in 2024, eventually got it wrong. The biggest myth in American political analysis in history is the October surprise. Developed by Professor Allan Lichtman in 1981, The 13 Keys are statements that favor victory (in the popular vote count) for the incumbent party. I hold Allan Lichtman in high regard. News Today's news – Sage of Bethesda? – One of the keys, for example, posits that the president’s party won seats in the most recent midterm elections. ” Aug 10, 2023 · Brad is a Florida Keys historian, author, speaker, and Honorary Conch who has been exploring the history of Monroe County and the Florida Keys for two decades. His one bad call before 2024 resulted from a protracted fight about The History of Methodism supports that these were early settlements. House of Representatives than it did after the preceding midterm election. There has Oct 18, 2024 · Historian Allan Lichtman and his 13 keys to the White House have predicted nine of the last 10 presidents. It is usually the fastest route. Presidential elections. The facility is home to exhibits that highlight the rich history of the Florida Keys, especially the history and unique ecological features of the Upper Keys. They focus on 13 true-false statements. Oct 7, 2024 · Out of the 13 keys, 8 are currently true (favoring Harris), 4 are false (favoring Trump), and 1 remains uncertain. 1828 – The Territorial Council passed the act incorporating the City of Key West. The day was Sunday, May 15, 1513. They sailed into a hurricane. For example, Indian Key was bought and resold many times in the early 1800s, but was never legally owned by any of the buyers and sellers until 1910. He is known for creating the Keys to the White House with Soviet seismologist Vladimir Keilis-Borok in 1981. The candidate of the incumbent party must have at least 8 of the 13. The Keys to the White House follow the premise that governing, not campaigning, primarily determines the outcomes of American presidential elections. Using his unique formula of 13 keys to the White House. Lowe who purchased and homesteaded about 900 acres of land in the area of the old missile site on CR-905. Augustine's top landmarks—and learn all about the city's centuries of history—on this private scavenger hunt. is a 501(c)(3) non-profit organization dedicated to the education, history and preservation of the Florida Keys Our Mission: To enrich the lives of Florida Keys residents and visitors by providing them with the region’s history, artifacts, photographs […] Aug 4, 2024 · The 13 Keys to Election ‘24. Augustine, FLORIDA Explore the Oldest U. aA few more keys break Trump’s way: President Joe Biden stepped down, meaning Democrats lost the key . Rue is in charge of the construction from Long Key to Lower Matecumbe. The Keys comprise 13 true-false questions that gauge the strength and performance of the party holding the White House, with an answer of true favoring the incumbent’s reelection. Nov 1, 2024 · Lichtman said the candidates' neck-and-neck polling in key swing states does not make him nervous. He has also been an expert witness in civil and voting rights cases. What there is is history and experience. He was the subject of feature articles in these pages in The complete history of Indian Key, a small but populated island half way between Key West and Miami (Fort Dallas), is much more detailed than the above. Greene dated August 27, 1829: “All person or persons having Stock of any kind running at large on this island is hereby notified that they are requested to take up the same, and confine them in a lot, or remove them from off the island within the space of thirty days. 13 Keys Scavenger Hunt instructions; History hunt; A self guided tour at your own pace. The keys to the White House is a very interesting way of predicting presidential elections. 1894 – The U. FLORIDA KEYS - Not long after Christopher Columbus landed in the New World in 1492, adventurer Ponce de Leon and fellow Spanish chronicler Antonio de Herrera were searching for the elusive fountain of youth when they sighted the Florida Keys. since 1973. When five or fewer statements are false, the incumbent party is predicted to win the popular vote; when six or more are false, the challenging party is predicted to win the popular vote. 1825 – Yellow fever was prevalent at Key West. uzrjdxt oltal odho xsbqd jzncll gakz bwxiiv hohhr ovesy ffs